Singapore
Airlines has secured a 30% discount off the list price from
Airbus for its $8.6 billion order for the A3XX.
The world's
most successful airline announced on Friday an order for
10 of the 555-seat Airbus A3XXs with 15 options, to handle
air travel, which is booming again in Asia. Growth is soaring
at 15%.
Singapore-based
analysts said the significant discounts, which have also
been offered to Qantas and Cathay Pacific by Airbus and
its rival Boeing's 747 Stretch-X, reflect the critical importance
of the world's most influential airline to the success of
both aircraft.
And, according
to Airbus, the potential orders up to 2019 are massive -
1,500 aircraft worth $700 billion, which represents 23%
of the world commercial aircraft market.
SIA's order
is even more important in the context that it is expected
that Southeast Asian airlines will account for 44% of the
orders for megajumbos by 2019.
Eight of the
world's 10 busiest routes involve an Asian destination.
Airbus has
been struggling to break into Boeing's dominance of the
jumbo market, and the SIA order guarantees the A3XX will
be built.
The European
consortium had secured commitments from Emirates Airlines,
Air France and International Lease Finance Corporation for
22 aircraft, but those orders do not come close to securing
production go-ahead.
SIA's pivotal
commitment changes all of that overnight.
SIA's deputy
chairman, Cheong Choong Kong said the battle between the
747 Stretch-X and the A3XX was very close and hotly contested.
"The Airbus
had more passenger space and had more new technology," he
said.
Now all eyes
will move to Australia's Qantas, which is expected to follow
the SIA lead.
The order diminishes
the chances of Boeing launching its 747X aircraft and may
force the Seattle manufacturer back to the drawing board
to design a totally new jumbo.
But if Boeing
is right on the trend for more non-stop flights, such as
Perth-London, with longer ranged aircraft such as the 777-200LR
and A340-500, then it may be many years before Airbus breaks
even on the program.
Now the
hard part
However, massive
challenges are ahead for Airbus. The easy part is securing
the order - now the manufacturer must meet the tough guarantees
that enable SIA to walk away without any damage.
In 1969, Boeing
nearly went bankrupt building the 747 - and the aircraft
had no direct competitor to force margins down.
The European
consortium must meet demanding noise requirements for Heathrow,
while building the biggest passenger aircraft ever built
and also beat Boeing's guarantees for its 747X.
But Forgeard
was very confident that Airbus will easily beat the London
QC2 noise limit.
"We are working
on a larger front fan with the engine makers as one solution,"
he said.
Airbus is working
from computer modeling and wind tunnel testing for its performance
guarantees, while Boeing has years of 747 experience to
build on, with its upgraded model.
If Airbus is
out by even 1% on performance it could ruin the consortium.
Some of the
most spectacular write-offs in corporate history have come
from aircraft that failed to meet performance guarantees.
In one case,
McDonnell Douglas' 300-passenger MD-11 failed to meet range
performance in 1991. This was a major factor that forced
the company's merger with Boeing.